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The Optimizer

Most Sophisticated Approach to Salary Cap Fantasy Football Team Development for $68!

FSO designed The Optimizer with three imperatives in mind:

  • To assure that you have the best fantasy football team possible resulting from use of the most advanced statistical processes and modern optimization techniques.
  • To allow for complete customization (based on your league-specific parameters).
  • To facilitate a high degree of subjectivity through an open architecture system that encourages user input and player selections.

The Optimizer accomplishes the first imperative by analyzing the three dimensions of performance, risk, and player salaries through FSO's proprietary statistical discourse that seeks to maximize expected performance of your team based on the most advantageous utilization of risk.

The Optimizer accomplishes the later two imperatives primarily through the use of linear programming based on information that you provide to FSO. For example, you are strongly encouraged to choose some players that you want and/or to reject players you don't want on your team. The Optimizer can then calculate the most optimal team around these selections and any league-specific rules.

The Optimizer's premium features include:

  1. State-of-the-art technology such as Nobel Prize winning predictive modeling.
  2. Performance expectations that are based on higher mathematics and not just based on historical averages or other absolutes.
  3. Consideration of the non-linear relationship between risk and performance expectations.
  4. Dynamic modeling, which means that for each and every client, The Optimizer's models are automatically re-tested to determine which one(s) give the best predictive measures of performance.
  5. Huge allowance on number of tries (or iterations) to find the optimal team. Current capacity: basically unlimited.

In short, why purchase The Optimizer?

So that you too can view the divine code of order. Clarity beyond expression. Knowledge beyond thought. The Optimizer offers a visual representation of your league that otherwise does not exist. It gives you an answer to your questions.

What questions? Have you ever asked yourself "How did my league come up with their salaries? Their rules? Something seems wrong but, what exactly? Can I take advantage of any flaws in their system?"

The first time FSO produced The Optimizer report, we were astounded... not by the recommended team, which made sense (of course), but by how bad the League had allocated its salary cap among positions. The league, a major player in the market included as part of their rules (and still does), negative points associated with Points Allowed by a DEF/ST if over a certain level. Consequence: a much tighter distribution among teams than one would expect. This fact by itself is somewhat interesting but when you look at the salaries it becomes clear that it would be a huge mistake to draft a high ranking DEF/ST given the cost. To prove the point, below are a portion of this particular report, which compares the DEF/ST (or "Team") versus the wide receiver position. These results are based entirely on league-specific rules as would your fully customizable report.

The Optimizer Report

Sample Portion of Performance & Risk Characteristics (this is an actual league)

Hopefully, your reaction is "Yikes!" You can see the very tight distribution in terms of performance and risk for the DEF/ST since the league's scoring rules includes negative points assigned to certain levels of Points Allowed. It matters very little whether you have the best DEF/ST or the worst DEF/ST. In fact, 67% of the time, this league's DEF/ST squads produce seasonalized scores between 43.8 and 62.7 (a difference of just 1.1 points per game). Look at those salaries!!! For this level of performance, the league is on average charging $13.1 million (in a $100 million salary cap league). That's an absurd amount. Save the $5 million with confidence to spend elsewhere.

As a comparison, the wide receiver distribution is also shown. Here, on average, the salaries are half the amount (only $6.3 million) and you get almost the same average production (45.6 points) relative to the ST/DEF (53.2 points). For only an additional $2.6 million you could get a wide receiver that averages 75.0 points. Moreover, there's a much wider distribution with a few outliers, allowing your picks to really make a difference.

The Optimizer includes several pages of tabular and graphical representations of FSO analyses and your optimal team given your league's rules and salary cap structure as well as any players that you want or don't want on your team. Please allow three business days for electronic delivery.

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