Looking at most fantasy sports web sites, one would think that the only dimension to building a successful fantasy sports team is expected player performance. Typically, such web sites claim to have some competitive advantage, such as access to superior information. Undoubtedly, some have better info than others do. Uniquely, FSO’s approach to building a successful team extends far beyond performance expectations.
Yes, there is uncertainty. Yes, performance is difficult to predict. And yes, FSO provides the strongest predictive indicator available.
FSO considers expected player and/or team performance, risk factor and player salaries--all three simultaneously in a three dimensional approach. To visually display the universe of options, The Optimizer plots expected performance, a dependent variable, along the x-axis; risk, an independent variable, along the y-axis; and player salaries along the z-axis. FSO superimposes the resulting 3-D convex shape with linear constrains as determined by league-specific rules and certain imperatives as determined by FSO as part of its proprietary statistical processes.
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FSO helps you manage risk efficiently in an optimal manner:
Whether you are doing it consciously or not, you already realize the need to optimize your risk “budget” when putting together a fantasy sports team. Consider the possibility of selecting Peyton Manning in a “no-live” draft league (where player salaries are predetermined and league participants may or may not select the same player). In this case, you and other participants in your league may very well not select Manning even though he may be considered the best player. Why? An answer that he is too expensive is really only half the story when in fact, anyone could draft him (assuming he fits within the budgetary parameters of the league). So, the truth is that although he is obtainable, he may not be “worth it” mainly because a team’s success would depend too much upon one player. As such, whether or not you or anyone else selects Manning, everyone involved in the draft just made an assessment of risk with respect to the composition of their team. FSO greatly enhances risk management for you.
Although injuries are very difficult to predict, other risk factors such as a player’s consistency are more predictable. In fact, FSO employs thousands of computational iterations and a wide variety of techniques including dynamic and sequential processing to maximize your probability of a successful championship season for your fantasy football team. |